One the worst quarters for 5th percentile values, 3 Letter .coms were the most traded category with over $11M in Escrow.com sales.
Welcome to the 10th edition of the Liquid Domains Overview (LXDO), which focuses on the 614,928 .com domains we call “liquid”. The objective of the report is to present key statistics and generate a debate amongst the industry stakeholders about the fair value of such domains. We hope you enjoy it and we encourage your feedback and participation for the next reports.
DEVELOPMENT INDEX AND OWNERSHIP DATA
The overall development index increased by 1.9%, with signi#cant gains for 2 number and 4 letter .com categories. The most developed categories remain the 2Ls at 34.6%, followed by the 3Ls and 2Cs, both around 28%. With the exception of the 2Ns, the numeric domain categories maintain a development index under 10%. China remains the king of liquid domains, with a 26.4% market share, followed by the US (21.9%), which gained 2% in Q3. Contrary to the previous trend, we noted a negative variation in domains owned by Chinese registrants for the second consecutive quarter. The rest of the world and Europe also lost market share at 11% and 3.2%, which could be attributed to GDPR coming into further e”ect. As a result, private registrations now constitute over 30.7% of all liquid domains, which is nearly a 50% increase since the second quarter of 2018. The 3Ns and 5Ns are the categories with the highest percentage of domains under privacy, with 62% and 58% respectively.
SALES DATA
In Q3 the total volume of disclosed sales almost doubled from $5.4M to $9.2M. We also registered a 50% increase in the volume of escrow.com sales, which jumped from $12M to $16.7M. According to escrow.com, the most traded category were the 3L .com domains, with $11.4M in sales, followed by the 4Ls ($3.2M) and the 3Ns ($1.1M). According to ShortNames.com, the disclosed volumes for these categories showed a similar pattern with $5.2M for 3Ls, $1.7M for the 4Ls and almost $1M in 5Ns. Even in Q3, the most traded categories for the number of transactions were the 4Ls (1,713), the 5Ns (1,116) and the 3Cs (596), which registered a record turnover of 2.1%. The positive numbers in terms of volume are in stark contrast with the continued decline across the board in 5th percentile values, which recorded the worst quarter since the inception of our report. 5Ns and 3Cs lost 38%, 4Ls lost 28%. The only stable category were the 3Ls, which registered a modest loss of -2.8%.
FORECAST
The copious inventory released to the market on Q3 had a positive impact on the sales volume but quite a negative impact on the $oor prices, which, with the exception of 3Ls, registered signi#cant double digit losses. The challenge for the last quarter of the year, which is typically a strong quarter for end-user activity, will be if the Western market manages to absorb the inventory being released for sale in China. Strong end user transaction might keep a$oat the most developed categories, however, a potential increase in .com registration prices, to be decided in November, might have a negative long-term impact on the market. Caution is advised.